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'Is the Beto bubble bursting?': Cruz leads O'Rourke by 9 points in Quinnipiac poll  4 Months ago

Source:   USA Today  

AUSTIN — Incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz continues to lead Rep. Beto O’Rourke among likely voters in Texas, according to a poll released by Quinnipiac University on Thursday. 

The poll shows Cruz with a nine-point lead over his Democratic challenger. Cruz led by the same margin in a similar poll released by Quinnipiac in September.

"Is the Beto bubble bursting or just hissing away with a slow leak?" pondered Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, in a statement. "With less than four weeks until Election Day, Congressman Beto O’Rourke has hit a wall and remains the same nine points behind Sen. Ted Cruz."

Both polls, which surveyed likely voters, showed that 54 percent of respondents backed Cruz, while 45 percent favored O’Rourke.

For Thursday's poll, the university surveyed 730 likely Texas voters between Oct. 3 and 9. The poll has a 4.4 percent margin of error.

Of those who responded, 26 percent said immigration is the most important issue when it comes to casting a vote for a U.S. Senate candidate. Nineteen percent said it was the economy, 17 percent said health care and 16 percent said it was the Supreme Court. 

O'Rourke led with diverse voters, drawing support from 84 percent of black voters and 61 percent of Latino voters. Cruz has an edge with white voters, getting support from 69 percent of those surveyed.

Ninety-six percent of respondents who named a candidate said their mind is made up in the race.

"The election is far from over, but Sen. Cruz would have to suffer a major collapse for him to lose," Brown said. "That is even more unlikely since 97 percent of Cruz voters say they are sure they won’t change their minds."

Other polling in the race has shown both candidates within a few points of each other, fueling enthusiasm among Democrats who see O’Rourke as a hero for the party in a staunchly conservative state. Cruz has used the same results to rally his supporters, warning against complacency this election cycle.

A  CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker poll released on Monday showed Cruz with a six-point lead over O’Rourke among registered voters, with 50 percent of respondents saying they support the Republican and 44 percent saying they back his challenger. They interviewed 1,031 registered voters. The poll has a 3.9 percent margin of error.

The Quinnipiac poll also released tallies from its survey on the race for Texas Governor that show Gov. Greg Abbott with a commanding lead over his challenger, former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez.

Abbott had 58 percent support among likely voters who were polled, while Valdez received 38 percent.

Among likely voters, 72 percent of white voters favored Abbott, while 77 percent of black voters chose Valdez.

While Valdez had the edge with Latino voters, the gap was more narrow in the race for governor than in that of the U.S. Senate in Texas.

Fifty percent of Latino voters favored Valdez, while 46 percent said they support Abbott.

 

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